In several outstanding races, Republicans are ahead. Still, some upsets have broken out for Democrats, and on Saturday night, CBS News predicted that Democrats had flipped Washington state’s 3rd Congressional District, a seat favored to hold by the GOP. There are currently 11 matches that have not been declared and 10 of these positions are considered “battlegrounds”. Of those who remained in battleground states, five were rated “bouncers,” two were in the “likely Democratic” category, one was “leaning Democratic” and two were “leaning Republican.” Democratic strategists working on House races this cycle say it would take a “miracle,” but Democrats have a possible path to retaining the majority. They would then have to win at least 8 of the remaining 11 seats. In nine of California’s unbidden and competitive races (California’s 3rd, 9th, 13th, 22nd, 26th, 27th, 41st, 45th, 47th, and 49th), three were “leaning Republican.” For Republicans, California could help push them to the brink of holding the majority — if their nominees hold onto their lead. Mitchell said that for Democrats to have any chance of keeping the House, they would have to win in the 22nd, 27th and 41st, all districts where the Republican incumbent is in charge. “If the Democrats won all three of those races in California, then you think the chances of the Democrats holding the House go up. But if the Democrats lose one of those three, the odds go way down, they lose two of those three, the door slams shut,” Mitchell said. Sarah Chamberlain, president of the Main Street Partnership Republican group that works with more moderate House Republicans, said she is confident that Rep. Valadao and Calvert will keep their seats. Republicans also lead in another tight race: Colorado’s 3rd District, where GOP Rep. Lauren Boebert leads by about 1,100 votes with 99 percent of results. Democratic incumbents were projected to win three seats in Nevada. Maine’s 2nd District and Alaska’s Great District, two seats with ranked-choice voting, leaned Democratic. “From the math we’ve done — I think it’s a foregone conclusion [that Republicans take the House]Chamberlain said. “But it will be very close. It will only be a few seats. And it shouldn’t have been, I mean, that should have been a landslide, honestly.” In the primaries, Chamberlain’s team supported Republican candidates such as Rep. Peter Meijer of Michigan and Jamie Herrera-Beutler, House Republicans targeted by former President Donald Trump. Chamberlain argued that far-right candidates who won their Republican primary would be more competitive in the general election. He said the issue of the quality of the nominees, as well as the disconnect between Trump and the rest of the Republican establishment, was one reason control of the House remains so tight. “I don’t think Trump is going to go away,” Chamberlain said. “We just have to make better decisions with Trump. I think some of the Trump candidates hurt us on Tuesday. And that’s why we have to work together as a party and move forward.”
2022 Midterm Elections
More More Aaron Navarro
Aaron Navarro is an associate producer for the politics unit at CBS News, focusing on the House and gubernatorial campaigns as well as the census and redistricting.
title: “What Is Left To Measure In The Parliament Can The Democrats Have A Majority " ShowToc: true date: “2022-11-17” author: “Erin Perry”
In several outstanding races, Republicans are ahead. Still, some upsets have broken out for Democrats, and on Saturday night, CBS News predicted that Democrats had flipped Washington state’s 3rd Congressional District, a seat favored to hold by the GOP. There are currently 11 matches that have not been declared and 10 of these positions are considered “battlegrounds”. Of those who remained in battleground states, five were rated “bouncers,” two were in the “likely Democratic” category, one was “leaning Democratic” and two were “leaning Republican.” Democratic strategists working on House races this cycle say it would take a “miracle,” but Democrats have a possible path to retaining the majority. They would then have to win at least 8 of the remaining 11 seats. In nine of California’s unbidden and competitive races (California’s 3rd, 9th, 13th, 22nd, 26th, 27th, 41st, 45th, 47th, and 49th), three were “leaning Republican.” For Republicans, California could help push them to the brink of holding the majority — if their nominees hold onto their lead. Mitchell said that for Democrats to have any chance of keeping the House, they would have to win in the 22nd, 27th and 41st, all districts where the Republican incumbent is in charge. “If the Democrats won all three of those races in California, then you think the chances of the Democrats holding the House go up. But if the Democrats lose one of those three, the odds go way down, they lose two of those three, the door slams shut,” Mitchell said. Sarah Chamberlain, president of the Main Street Partnership Republican group that works with more moderate House Republicans, said she is confident that Reps. David Valandao and Ken Calvert will keep their seats. Republicans also lead in another tight race: Colorado’s 3rd District, where GOP Rep. Lauren Boebert leads by about 1,100 votes with 99 percent of results. Democratic incumbents were projected to win three seats in Nevada. Maine’s 2nd District and Alaska’s Great District, two seats with ranked-choice voting, leaned Democratic. “From the math we’ve done — I think it’s a foregone conclusion [that Republicans take the House]Chamberlain said. “But it will be very close. It will only be a few seats. And it shouldn’t have been, I mean, that should have been a landslide, honestly.” In the primaries, Chamberlain’s team supported Republican candidates such as Rep. Peter Meijer of Michigan and Jamie Herrera-Beutler, House Republicans targeted by former President Donald Trump. Chamberlain argued that far-right candidates who won their Republican primary would be more competitive in the general election. He said the issue of the quality of the nominees, as well as the disconnect between Trump and the rest of the Republican establishment, was one reason control of the House remains so tight. “I don’t think Trump is going to go away,” Chamberlain said. “We just have to make better decisions with Trump. I think some of the Trump candidates hurt us on Tuesday. And that’s why we have to work together as a party and move forward.”
2022 Midterm Elections
More More Aaron Navarro
Aaron Navarro is an associate producer for the politics unit at CBS News, focusing on the House and gubernatorial campaigns as well as the census and redistricting.
