Commanders vs. Eagles Matchup Analysis
Enable the following drop-down menus to hide or show how Commanders and Eagles match up statistically: Commanders vs. Eagles DVOA Analysis Overall DVOA 20 3 Pass the DVOA 29 2 Rush DVOA 27 27 Overall DVOA 4 14 Pass the DVOA 3 25 Rush DVOA 5 2 Jalen Hurts and the Eagles offense are second in points per game (28.1) and fourth in DVOA, but Washington is one of the toughest defenses they’ll face. In the first meeting between these teams, the Governors held the Eagles to a season-low 72 rushing yards. Hurts was held to his lowest yards per carry average (2.22) and second-lowest rushing total (20 yards) in a game this season. Despite connecting on runs of 45, 44 and 31 yards by DeVonda Smith, plus a 40-yard run by Grant Calcaterra, the Eagles managed just 24 points on the scoreboard. They forced six punts, a season high, and went scoreless on eight of their 12 drives (excluding the final possession when they ran out the clock). Ron Rivera’s defense is second against the run and third in pressure percentage (26.6%, per Pro Football Reference). That’s a recipe for success against a Philadelphia team that averages the second-most rushing attempts per game (34.5) and sees Hurts’ passer rating drop from 119.6 in a clean pocket to 76.7 under pressure . Washington’s pass defense has improved since cornerback William Jackson III (who has since been traded) was benched in Week 5. According to RBsDM.com, Washington’s defense is sixth in pass completion percentage (42.5%) and ninth in expected points added per game (-0.037) through Week 5. They were 17th in pass completion percentage (45, 1%) and 27th in dropback EPA per game (.199) in Weeks 1-4. Bet Washington vs Philadelphia at FanDuelCommanders +10.5 | Eagles -10.5 When the Commanders have the ball, they will face a top-three Eagles defense that held them scoreless for the first 58 minutes and five seconds of the first meeting. Washington was backed up by Carson Wentz in this one, but it’s not like Taylor Heinicke is a better fit. The Eagles are eighth in pressure rate, and Heinicke’s passer rating under pressure (36.6) ranks 38th out of 41 qualified quarterbacks, per PFF. The Eagles play the ninth-highest percentage of zone coverage in the league, and Washington is 27th in yards per target against man coverage (6.7) since Heinicke took over in Week 7 (he’s sixth against man coverage over the same span). Heinicke loves giving the ball to Terry McLaurin, who has won 28.4% of his targets and accounted for 38.5% of his passes, but the Eagles are second in DVOA against No. 1 receivers, per Football Outsiders . McLaurin has beaten some big names lately, but it’s still a tough matchup against Darius Slay and James Bradberry, who rank fourth and 14th, respectively, in PFF’s coverage grade among 114 qualified corners. Thanks to those studs on the outside, the Eagles allowed the lowest percentage of explosive plays of 16 or more yards (8.5%) The Eagles are vulnerable on the ground, but the Commanders’ 27th-ranked rushing attack isn’t guaranteed to be able to exploit them. Antonio Gibson and Brian Robinson Jr. they were disappointing on the ground, combining to average just 3.51 yards per carry on 156 carries. Washington’s best offense in this game is Curtis Samuel, who has carried 18 times for 122 yards (6.22 YPC). Samuel also figures to see a high percentage of looks from the slot, with the Eagles missing starting nickel corner Avonte Maddox (blocking). Whether the Commanders can run or not, they will try to shorten the game as best they can. According to Football Outsiders, they rank 31st in neutral pace (33.45 seconds) and 24th in average seconds between plays in the first half (29.50). Both defenses match up well against opposing offenses here, giving this game all the makings of a tough, low-scoring NFC East matchup. According to our Action Labs data, indoor Divisionals are 57-34 (63%) since the start of last season. What is QuickSlip? QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to automatically load their betting slip into the FanDuel Sportsbook. How would you rate this article?
