An article published in a new book by the American Enterprise Institute warns that the Biden administration’s preparations for a possible armed conflict with China may be completely wrong, arguing that a war against Beijing will last much longer than it can. to be understood by the officials. In the publication of the think tank “Defending Taiwan”, senior associates Hal Brands and Michael Beckley write that “Washington can prepare for the wrong kind of war”, while offering suggestions on how they can plan the right way. “The Pentagon and many defense planners seem to be focusing on winning a brief, localized conflict in the Taiwan Straits. and Beckley. in their article, “Getting Ready for a Long War: Why a US-China Fight in the Western Pacific Won’t End Quickly.” They also claim that China is making the same mistake and that its leaders “seem to be envisioning rapid, paralyzing attacks that break Taiwan’s resistance and present to the United States a accomplished event.” US CAN RELY ON WHAT CHINA RESPONDS TO “ASIAN NATO” TO PREVENT, EX-OFFICIALS SAY “Both sides would prefer a wonderful little war in the western Pacific, but this is not the kind of war they will be waging,” they wrote. Instead, they argue that a US-China war over Taiwan “is likely to be long, not short, regional, undetected and much easier to start than to end.” A major reason to believe that a war will start is that both sides will have a lot to lose and the ability to suffer losses. “If the United States had succeeded in defeating a Chinese attack on Taiwan, Beijing would not have given up,” they wrote, explaining that Chinese President Xi Jinping had “explicitly” stated that the Taiwan issue should be resolved during the conflict. generation and that “reunification” is needed for “the great revitalization of the Chinese nation.” If he admitted defeat, Brands and Beckley claimed, it could cost Xi his strength and “maybe his life.” On the American side, they report the effects on the balance of power, the anger inside for what would most likely be a “Pearl Harbor missile strike” against the US to start the war and damage a quick defeat without hitting the China. would challenge Washington’s reputation as reasons why the White House would remain in the race. TAIWAN WARNS CHINA THAT IT HAS A MISSION ABLE TO BLOCK BEIJING Anticipating a long-term war, Brands and Beckley outlined four ways Washington could prepare. The first, they say, is for the United States and Taiwan to increase their stockpiles of supplies and ammunition so they can beat China in the “reloading race.” Second, they say the United States “must demonstrate its ability to stick hard” by taking measures such as “securing critical networks, expanding Taiwan’s refugee system, and expanding its stockpile of fuel, food, and medical supplies.” They say the United States should “take the ladder” by preparing to cut off China through embargoes so that “they can threaten to turn a full-blown conflict into an economic catastrophe for China.” Finally, they argue that the United States must define what victory looks like in realistic terms. Given that both sides are nuclear-armed, they predict that “a negotiated compromise” will be the way it will end. So how would it end? CLICK HERE TO RECEIVE THE FOX NEWS APPLICATION “The simplest solution would be to return to the status quo ante: China stops attacking Taiwan in exchange for a promise that the island would not declare and America would not support formal independence,” said Brands and Beckley. The US could offer to withdraw forces from Taiwan as an additional incentive. “The United States would have saved a living and strategically located democracy. Both sides would have saved a person and lived to see another day.”
